Cynefin and the floods

In my previous blog I introduced in a simple way the Cynefin framework. I discovered this last year, right in the middle of the floods that caused so much destruction in Thailand. The framework helped me at that time to do - with the teams - a reasonably good job of steering our organization through this period. Our manufacturing facilities were not impacted at the time, but our employees and our business activity was.

The flood situation, at least as far as my organization at that time was concerned, can be described as a "complex" problem. Characteristics of complex problems are that they are in flux and unpredictable. There are no right answers, and there are many differing ideas of what should be done. The situation was not simple or complicated, obviously, but also not chaotic. In fact, the events dragged out over several weeks. There was no chaos or sudden dramatic event. Day after day, we obtained (often contradicting) updates from the different news sources on the situation, tried to imagine what could happen, and get ready for those eventualities.

So how did viewing this situation as a "complex" problem help me at all ? As explained in my last blog, the Cynefin framework helps leaders to determine how to react to a problem at hand. For a complex problem, the appropriate approach is Probe - Sense - Respond. The following steps are recommended in the Harvard Business Review article of November 2007.

Open discussions and dissenting views In this kind of situation, a command-and-control approach does not work. The leader does not have the answer any more than the next person. Even the experts had differing opinions about what would happen and about what should be done. Within the organization, we created differeent groups to develop ideas of how we could get ready for all possible scenario. Extreme opinions (from "nothing will happen" to "we're all doomed !") were allowed for discussion.

Set barriers We decided not to review or react to every single piece of "news" or information out there. Internet, blogosphere or Youtube all carried hundreds of snippets of information each day. Considering or evaluating this information overload would have taken half a day. Instead, we created our own measures of the rising water level in our surroundings and objectively and frequently reported this to the people in the organization.

Monitor for emergence Many team members were given the freedom to implement their ideas, even though we did not know the appropriateness at the time. This was not a situation where one could turn to the boss for the correct answers. Allowing all ideas to rise and have people implement most of them created a dynamic and motivation that kept the team going for different weeks.

The crisis turned out OK for the organization although several employees were affected personally. As the leader of the organization, viewing the situation as a complex problem and addressing it with the appropriate approach helped me to maintain the team's motivation and commitment. Having said that, I sincerely hope that nobody needs to encounter this kind of dramatic flood, with our without the Cynefin framework !